‘Tropic Thunder’ Remains Undefeated

Here are the Labor Day weekend estimates. Full analysis to come on Tuesday when final numbers are released.

3 Day Estimates:

1. Tropic Thunder – $11.5 million, -29%, $83.8 M total
2. Babylon A.D. (3,390 theaters) – $9.6 M, NEW
3. The Dark Knight – $8.6 M, -18%, $502.3 M total
4. The House Bunny – $8.3 M, -43%, $28.5 M total
5. Traitor (2,054 theaters) – $7.8 M, NEW, $9.3 M since Wed. launch
6. Death Race – $6.3 M, -50%, $23.1 M total
7. Disaster Movie (2,642 theaters) – $5.8 M, NEW
8. Mamma Mia! – $4.4 M, +1%, $131.5 M total
9. Pineapple Express – $3.5 M, -36%, $79.9 M total
10. Vicky Cristina Barcelona – $2.8 M, -7%, $12.6 M total

• College (2,123 theaters) – $2.1 M, NEW
• Hamlet 2 (1,597 theaters) – $1.7 M, NEW (wide release), $2.7 M total

4 Day Estimates including the Monday Holiday:

1. Tropic Thunder – $14.3 million, -12%, $86.6 M total
2. Babylon A.D. (3,390 theaters) – $12 M, NEW
3. The Dark Knight – $11 M, +5%, $504.7 M total
4. The House Bunny – $10.2 M, -30%, $29.8 M total
5. Traitor (2,054 theaters) – $10 M, NEW, $11.5 M since Wed. launch
6. Death Race – $8.2 M, -35%, $25 M total
7. Disaster Movie (2,642 theaters) – $6.9 M, NEW
8. Mamma Mia! – $5.8 M, +34%, $132.9 M total
9. Pineapple Express – $4.5 M, -18%, $80.9 M total
10. Vicky Cristina Barcelona – $3.5 M, +18%, $13.3 M total

• College (2,123 theaters) – $2.6 M, NEW
• Hamlet 2 (1,597 theaters) – $2.1 M, NEW (wide release), $3.2 M total

Related articles:

• ‘The Dark Knight’ Drills Through $500 Million
• Predictions for ‘Disaster Movie’, ‘Babylon A.D.’
• ‘Tropic Thunder’ Defeats ‘The Clone Wars’

Box Office Data Source: The Numbers

Predictions for ‘Disaster Movie’, ‘Babylon A.D.’

Here are my box office predictions for the final weekend of the 2008 summer season:

3 Day (Friday-to-Sunday) August 29-31 Predictions:

1. Tropic Thunder – $12.5 million, -23%, $84.8 M total
2. Babylon A.D. (3,390 theaters) – $12.4 M, NEW
3. Disaster Movie (2,642 theaters) – $10.8 M, NEW
4. The Dark Knight – $10 M, -5%, $503.7 M total
5. The House Bunny – $8.9 M, -39%, $28.5 M total
6. Death Race – $6.9 M, -45%, $23.7 M total
7. Traitor (2,054 theaters) – $5.8 M, NEW, $7.3 M since Wed. launch
8. Mamma Mia! – $4.4 M, +2%, $131.5 M total
9. College (2,123 theaters) – $4 M, NEW
10. Pineapple Express – $3.8 M, -30%, $80.2 M total

• Hamlet 2 (1,597 theaters) – $1.8 M, NEW (wide release), $2.8 M total

4 Day Labor day Weekend Predictions:

1. Tropic Thunder – $15.8 million, -3%, $88.1 M total
2. Babylon A.D. (3,390 theaters) – $15 M, NEW
3. Disaster Movie (2,642 theaters) – $13 M, NEW
4. The Dark Knight – $12.9 M, +22%, $506.8 M total
5. The House Bunny – $10.9 M, -25%, $30.5 M total
6. Death Race – $8.7 M, -31%, $25.5 M total
7. Traitor (2,054 theaters) – $7.4 M, NEW, $8.9 M since Wed. launch
8. Mamma Mia! – $5.7 M, +32%, $132.8 M total
9. College (2,123 theaters) – $4.8 M, NEW
10. Pineapple Express – $4.7 M, -14%, $81.1 M total

• Hamlet 2 (1,597 theaters) – $2.2 M, NEW (wide release), $3.8 M total

I know what you're thinking but 'Disaster Movie's strictly PG-13

Related articles:

• ‘Tropic Thunder’ Defeats ‘The Clone Wars’
• ‘The Dark Knight’ Tops 4th Straight Weekend

Box Office Data Source: The Numbers